Back to home pageFrance (Paris) POPULATION ET AVENIR JANUARY/FEBRUARY 1992 - NUMBER 606 93.05.01 - French - Philippe BOURCIER DE CARBON, INED, 27 rue du Commandeur, 75675 Paris Cedex 14 (France) Population Projections for Metropolitan France: Rough Estimate and Implications for 2015 based on Fertility (Projection de la population de la métropole: ordre de grandeur et implications à l'horizon 2015 selon la fécondité) The author presents population perspectives for France up to the year 2015 under the hypothesis of a closed population, i.e., with no migratory movements. These forecasts are calculated on a five- yearly basis, using the March 1990 Population Census results and three fertility levels: (1) median scenario with a total fertility rate stabilising at 1.8; (2) low scenario with a TFR dropping to 1.5; (3) high scenario with a hypothetical TFR of 2.1. (FRANCE, POPULATION PROJECTIONS, TOTAL FERTILITY RATE) 93.05.02 - French - Gérard CALOT, CNAVTS, 49 rue Mirabeau, 75016 Paris (France) Fertility in Europe: Analogies and Differences (La fécondité en Europe: analogies et différences) The author attempts to compare the state of fertility in Europe and observes that only three countries in Western Europe recorded a stabilization in their completed family size for the 1950-55 generations: France, Sweden and Finland. (EUROPE, FERTILITY) 93.05.03 - French The 1990 Demographic Report and its Presentation (Le bilan démographique de 1990 et sa présentation) Presentation of the 20th Report on the Population Situation in France, prepared by INED. The author comments on the state of the economically active population as of the last census and observes that numbers have grown which is mainly due to an increase in the number of working women. He notes that trends in the economically active population differ with age: there has been a drop in those aged 60 and over, the increase of those aged 20-39 has slowed down, while there has been a significant increase in the 40-59- year-old age group. (FRANCE, POPULATION SITUATION, LABOUR FORCE) MARCH/APRIL 1992 - NUMBER 607 93.05.04 - French All the Countries of the World in 1991 (Tous les pays du Monde en 1991) An overall view of demographic data on the world situation. (WORLD, POPULATION SITUATION) 93.05.05 - French - Philippe BOURCIER DE CARBON, INED, 27 rue du Commandeur, 75675 Paris Cedex 14 (France) France's Population Situation in 1991 (Le bilan démographique 1991 de la France) The author comments on the demographic appraisal of France in 1991, published at the beginning of each year by INSEE using civil registration statistics and revised using data from the March 1990 population census. It is clear that there is a continuation of the ageing process, with almost as many people now aged 60 years and over as there are young people aged under 15. (FRANCE, POPULATION SITUATION, CENSUS, AGEING) 93.05.06 - French Family Policies in the Member States of the European Community in 1990 (Les politiques familiales des Etats membres de la Communauté en 1990) Appraisal of family policies of EC member States in 1990, according to the second report drawn up in 1991 for the European Observatory of National Family Policies. This appraisal confirms the slow erosion of population policies. (EUROPE, FAMILY, GOVERNMENTAL POLICY) MAY/JUNE 1992 - NUMBER 608 93.05.07 - French - Mireille MOUTARDIER How to Evaluate the Cost of Having Children? (Comment évaluer le coût d'un enfant?) The present study is limited to the private financial burden (a household's own resources, including family allowances) of having a child. It appears that the arrival of a first child leads to expenditure on feeding materials, clothing, accommodation, health and education which is approximately 20% greater than that of a childless couple. The arrival of the second child makes it necessary, in three cases out of every four, to move house and the arrival of the third child can create significant financial problems: one out of every four households concerned declares "balancing their budget" while 22% "are struggling". (COST OF CHILDREN) 93.05.08 - French - Denis KESSLER, André MASSON and Pierre PESTIEAU Transfers Between Generations (Transferts entre générations) With the increase in life expectancy, it is becoming more and more common to find three generations co-existing, linked by a dense network of various exchanges and transfers. The authors comment on these transfers, whether they be in cash or kind, or in terms of time, and the State's role. (LENGTH OF LIFE, SOCIAL ROLES) 93.05.09 - French - Jacques BICHOT What Reforms for Pension Schemes? (Quelle réforme pour les retraites?) The author wonders if there should be a reform in the pension scheme. Should an exchange system between generations be devised, giving due consideration to what each individual has to offer and awarding proportional rights, or should we just leave things be until such times as the ageing of our country becomes unbearable? (FRANCE, PENSION SCHEMES, AGEING) 93.05.10 - French Why Not Have More Children? (Pourquoi pas plus d'enfants?) In this interview with Evelyne Sullerot, a French demographer, it is very clear that the demands of our society go against having a family. Late marriage, the restrictions engendered by economics and day-to-day living and separations make couples brake their fertility and do not always allow women to have the number of children they declare they would like. (FRANCE, DESIRED FAMILY SIZE) SEPTEMBER/OCTOBER 1992 - NUMBER 609 93.05.11 - French Maastricht, Family and Demography (Maastricht, famille et démographie) Comments on the Maastricht Treaty, the future of family policies and demography in a society which is capable of anticipating its currency as far ahead as early next century, but which buries its head in the sand with regard to its population imbalances which can already be forecasted for 2010-2020. (EUROPE, FAMILY, DEMOGRAPHY) 93.05.12 - French - Jean LEGRAND Whirlwind in Eastern Europe (Tornade sur l'Est de l'Europe) The author examines the demographic phenomena of Eastern Europe and, more particularly, Germany. His conclusions are catastrophical: the total fertility rate of the ex-GDR fell to less than one child per woman in 1991 and to 1.35 for the two Germanies together. In the next four decades, the number of deaths will be 14 million higher than the number of births, resulting in a decrease in population of almost one million, with a high excess of elderly people. (EUROPE, GERMANY, FERTILITY DECLINE) 93.05.13 - French - Jacques DUPAQUIER, Alliance Nationale Population et Avenir, 35 rue Marbeuf, 75008 Paris (France) Foreigners in France in 1990 (Les étrangers en France en 1990) The author proposes a study of foreigners in France as of the March 1990 Population Census. It would appear that there has been a definite decline in the number of foreigners, mainly due to naturalizations and acquisitions of nationality between the last two census dates. This study also describes the distribution of foreigners by age and by place of residence. (FRANCE, FOREIGNERS) 93.05.14 - French Japan Threatened by its Demography (Le Japon menacé par sa démographie) A brief report on the population situation in Japan which, at this point in time, finds itself in a period with a false sense of security and, therefore, eminently favourable to economic performance, but which is destined for rapid ageing, due to a low fertility rate and the lack of immigration. (JAPAN, POPULATION SITUATION)
Back to home page