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WORLD HEALTH STATISTICS QUARTERLY

1992 - VOLUME 45, NUMBER 2/3
COMMUNICABLE DISEASE EPIDEMIOLOGY AND CONTROL
93.77.01 - English - D.A.P. BUNDY, A. HALL, 
G.F. MEDLEY, WHO Collaborating Centre for the Epidemiology for 
Intestinal Parasitic Infections, Imperial College, London (U.K.), 
and L. SAVIOLI, Programme on Intestinal Parasitic Infections, 
Division of Communicable Diseases, WHO, Geneva (Switzerland)
Evaluating Measures to Control Intestinal Parasitic Infections (p. 
168-179)
Intestinal parasitic infections are among the most common 
infections of human in developing countries, but the resources 
available for their control are severely limited. Careful 
evaluation of control measures is essential to ensure that they 
are cost-effective. The evaluation of the effects of control on 
intestinal helminths and intestinal protozoa requires an 
understanding of the different epidemiological patterns of these 
two groups of parasites. The transmission dynamics and morbidity 
associated with the major helminth infections are dependent on the 
size of the worm burdens. Thus the important parameter for 
evaluating the impact of control on morbidity and transmission is 
the intensity of infection, which can be assessed by determining 
the mean density of parasite eggs in faecal specimens. The 
estimation of intensity is exceptionally sensitive to the size and 
demographic structure of the population sample selected for 
assessment. With the major protozoan infections, an estimate of 
intensity is of little value and the central parameter for 
evaluation is prevalence. Prevalence does exhibit age and spatial 
heterogeneity, which may be species-specific, so there remains a 
need to ensure a consistent sample structure, although this is 
less critical than for the helminths. (DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, 
HEALTH, MORBIDITY)
93.77.02 - English - Michel GARENNE, Caroline 
RONSMANS, Center for Population and Development Studies, Harvard 
University, Cambridge, MA (U.S.A.), and Harry CAMPBELL, Consultant 
in Public Health (Child Health), Fife County Health Board, 
Scotland (U.K.)
The Magnitude of Mortality from Acute Respiratory Infections in 
Children under 5 Years in Developing Countries (p. 180-191)
This article reviews the available evidence of mortality from 
acute respiratory infections (ARI) among children aged under 5 
years in contemporary developing countries and compares the 
findings with European populations before 1965. Deaths from ARI 
played a smaller role after 1950, when the use of antibiotics 
became generalized. In developing countries, the role of ARI 
mortality seems to be similar to the European experience. The age 
pattern is very marked. In absolute values, ARI mortality is 
highest in the neonatal period and decreases with age. ARI, mainly 
pneumonia, accounts for about 18% of underlying causes of death in 
developing countries. Pneumonia and other ARI are frequent 
complications of measles and pertussis; ARI is also commonly found 
after other infections and in association with severe 
malnutrition. Virtually no data are available in developing 
countries to prove final estimates of the role of ARI in mortality 
of children aged under 5 years. However, the WHO figure of 1 out 
of 3 deaths due to - or associated with - ARI may be close to the 
real range. (DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, WHO, YOUTH MORTALITY, 
PNEUMONIA)
93.77.03 - English - Gunther F. CRAUN, 
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg, 
VA (U.S.A.)
Waterborne Disease Outbreaks in the United States of America: 
Causes and Prevention (p. 192-199)
During the past decade, 291 waterborne outbreaks were reported in 
community (43%) and noncommunity (33%) systems, and from the 
ingestion of contaminated water from recreational (14%) and 
individual (10%) water sources in the United States. Although 
several large waterborne outbreaks occurred, most were in small 
communities. The number of illnesses per outbreak in noncommunity 
systems is much larger than that reported during any previous 
period. The increased occurrence of outbreaks in disinfected 
groundwater systems may be due to (i) increased use of 
disinfection with little effort to reduce or eliminate sources of 
contamination, and (ii) not providing effective, continuous 
disinfection. In surface-water systems, outbreaks occur primarily 
because of inadequate or interrupted disinfection in systems that 
do not provide filtration, but a large increase in outbreaks has 
recently occurred in filtered systems. In community systems, most 
outbreaks were caused by inadequate disinfection of surface water 
(28%) and contamination of water in the distribution systems 
(24%), primarily through cross-connections and repairs of water 
mains. In noncommunity systems, almost all outbreaks (77%) were 
caused by contaminated groundwater. (UNITED STATES, WATER, WATER 
POLLUTION, MORBIDITY)
93.77.04 - English - F.-X. MESLIN, Veterinary 
Public Health, Division of Communicable Diseases, WHO, Geneva 
(Switzerland)
Surveillance and Control of Emerging Zoonoses (p. 200-207)
"Emerging zoonoses" are defined as zoonotic diseases caused either 
by apparently new agents, or by previously known microorganisms, 
appearing in places or in species in which the disease was 
previously unknown. Diseases associated with changing farming 
practices, trade and consumer habits. Bacterial enteric diseases 
due to Salmonella enteritidis and Echerichia coli 0:157 are 
examples of diseases associated with changing farming practices 
and consumer habits. Diseases associated with changing 
environmental conditions which influence reservoirs, vectors 
and/or victim species population parameters. Projects for the 
management of water resources (dams, irrigation) have brought Rift 
Valley fever to Rosso (Mauritania) and cutaneous leishmaniasis to 
countries of northern Africa. Human rabies outbreaks following 
contacts with infected vampire bats in Peru and Brazil are 
examples of changing vector and victim population parameters. 
Pathogens acquiring new properties through adaptation, mutation 
and recombination. Recently a new type of equine influenza 
viruses, antigenically different from circulating human and equine 
influenza strains, were detected in northern China. Early 
detection of emerging diseases requires reinforced surveillance on 
a global level. This could be achieved by strengthening the 
existing network of WHO collaborating centres and particularly 
those in developing tropical countries, by providing appropriate 
technology and training in detection and characterization of 
pathogenic agents. Highly specialized laboratories would serve as 
a backup reference resource. (DISEASES, MORBIDITY, WHO)
93.77.05 - French - Silvère SIMEANT, Division 
de la Surveillance épidémiologique et Appréciation de la Situation 
sanitaire et de ses Tendances, OMS, Genève (Switzerland)
Cholera 1991 - An Old Enemy with a New Face (Choléra 1991 - vieil 
ennemi, nouveau visage) (p. 208-219)
The cholera epidemics of the 19th century are described and 
reviewed. The extent, incidence and case-fatality rate for the 
disease in the seventh pandemic are described. The global 
epidemiological situation and its trend at the end of 1991 are 
analysed. A review of cholera epidemiology highlights the factors 
that might explain the less tragic nature of the disease today. 
The role of water, food and direct contagion in transmission of 
cholera over the last 20 years is considered in the light of 
recent studies and with special reference to the epidemic in Latin 
America, where the intense emotion aroused by the disease has 
prompted vigorous action that could produce significant and 
lasting progress in the health field. (LATIN AMERICA, CHOLERA, 
EPIDEMICS)
93.77.06 - English - James CHIN, Maria-Antonia 
REMENYI, Florence MORRISON, Forecasting and Impact Assessment 
Unit, Office of Research, Global Programme on AIDS, WHO, Geneva 
(Switzerland), and Rudolfo BULATAO, Population, Health and 
Nutrition Division, World Bank, Washington, DC (U.S.A.)
The Global Epidemiology of the HIV/AIDS Pandemic and its Projected 
Demographic Impact in Africa (p. 220-227)
The global epidemiology of HIV/AIDS has evolved to the point that 
the pandemic now predominantly affects heterosexuals, especially 
in developing countries. This article summarizes the status of the 
HIV/AIDS pandemic as of the early 1990s; provides estimates and 
short-term projections of AIDS mortality in a hypothetical country 
of sub-Saharan country; and describes the major problems 
associated with modelling the long-term demographic impact of this 
pandemic. (AFRICA, AIDS, EPIDEMICS, MORTALITY, MORBIDITY, 
PROJECTIONS)
93.77.07 - English - A. MEHEUS and G.M. ANTAL, 
Sexually Transmitted Diseases, Global Programme on AIDS, WHO, 
Geneva (Switzerland)
The Endemic Treponematoses: Not Yet Eradicated (p. 228-237)
The endemic treponematoses which comprise yaws, endemic syphilis 
(bejel) and pinta constitute a group of potentially disabling and 
disfiguring infections which primarily afflict children in 
tropical and subtropical areas. The failure of many countries to 
integrate active control measures into the functions of the rural 
health services led to the gradual build-up and extension of 
treponemal reservoirs and the resurgence of foci of increased 
disease transmission particularly in communities where standards 
of hygiene and health care had remained low. Central and West 
Africa are most severely affected by the resurgence of the endemic 
treponematoses. In recent years a number of countries (e.g. Ghana, 
Côte d'Ivoire and Mali) have launched renewed control efforts, 
often combining yaws or endemic syphilis control with other public 
health programmes. In Central Africa itinerant pygmy groups are 
still highly affected by yaws. In Chad, Sudan and Ethiopia, there 
is some evidence of persistent foci of endemic treponematoses. In 
the Eastern Mediterranean, bejel has been eliminated from most 
areas, but foci of infection have been reported in remote villages 
in Pakistan, and some endemic syphilis transmission might still 
prevail in nomadic people of the Arabian peninsula. Health 
officials in South-East Asia and the Pacific Islands have 
documented remaining foci of yaws in at least seven Member States. 
In Indonesia widely dispersed foci of infection still persist, 
particularly in Irian Jaya, the Moluccas, Sumatra and Kalimantan. 
In the Americas, yaws incidence is very low with very small foci 
remaining in Suriname, Guyana, Colombia and some islands of the 
Caribbean. (DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, ENDEMIC DISEASES, SYPHILIS, 
TROPICAL DISEASES, CHILDREN)
93.77.08 - English - Artur GALAZKA, Expanded 
Programme on Immunization, WHO, Geneva (Switzerland)
Control of Pertussis in the World (p. 238-247)
Available data indicate that pertussis remains an important 
disease during infancy and childhood, particularly among those who 
are inadequately immunized. Some problems have arisen in the 
industrialized world where pertussis had been well controlled 
previously. In developing countries, immunization coverage with 
primary series of three doses of DPT vaccine in infants exceeds 
80%, but there are considerable differences in coverage rates 
between regions and between and within countries. Failures to 
reach and maintain high immunization coverage in developing 
countries are caused by multiple factors including weak management 
of immunization services, missing opportunities to immunize 
eligible children and ineffective information and motivation of 
mothers to return to complete the immunization series. More 
information on the present epidemiological pattern of pertussis, 
especially age distribution of pertussis cases in developing 
countries, is needed to develop the policy of booster doses of DPT 
vaccine in children >1 year. (CHILDHOOD, CONTAGIOUS DISEASES, 
VACCINATION)
93.77.09 - English - Cynthia WHITMAN, Expanded 
Programme on Immunization, WHO, Geneva (Switzerland) et al.
Progress towards the Global Elimination of Neonatal Tetanus (p. 
248-256)
Neonatal tetanus (NT) claimed the lives of over 433 000 infants in 
1991. It is endemic in 90 countries throughout the world. NT is 
still one of the most underreported notifiable diseases, and 
routine reporting systems identified only 4% of the NT cases 
estimated to have occurred in 1990. Based on WHO estimates, 
tetanus toxoid (TT) immunization and clean delivery practices 
prevented over 793 000 infant deaths in 1991. 80% of the newborns 
who died of NT in 1991 were born in South-East Asia or Africa. Of 
the 90 countries endemic for NT, 10% produce 80% of the world's NT 
deaths. Half the female population in developing countries risks 
unclean deliveries and infants dying of NT. WHO, in conjunction 
with the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), has developed a 
protocol to assist countries in the rapid assessment of suspected 
TT failures and in verifying their toxoid potency. (WHO, 
NOTIFIABLE DISEASES, NEONATAL MORTALITY, CHILDBIRTH)
93.77.10 - English - Division of Control of 
Tropical Diseases, WHO, Geneva (Switzerland)
World Malaria Situation, 1990 (p. 257-266)
Accurate information on the global incidence of malaria is 
difficult to obtain because reporting is particularly incomplete 
in areas known to be highly endemic. The global incidence of 
malaria is estimated to be nearly 120 million clinical cases each 
year, with nearly 300 million people carrying the parasite. Some 
75% of cases are concentrated in 9 countries (in decreasing 
order): India, Brazil, Afghanistan, Sri Lanka, Thailand, 
Indonesia, Viet Nam, Cambodia and China. Furthermore, within these 
countries malaria is concentrated in certain areas. Of a total 
world population of about 5.3 billion people, 3.1 billion (59%) 
live in areas free of malaria; 1.7 billion people (32%) live in 
areas where endemic malaria was considerably reduced or even 
eliminated but transmission was reinstated and the situation is 
unstable or deteriorating. Areas where endemic malaria remains 
basically unchanged, and no national antimalaria programme was 
ever implemented, are inhabited by 500 million people (9%), mainly 
in tropical Africa. The vast majority of malaria deaths occur in 
Africa; estimates vary greatly: a figure of 800 000 deaths per 
year in African children has been quoted in 1991 by the WHO 
African Region. There are indications that mortality in children 
has fallen in some areas because of the widespread use of 
antimalarials, of social development and of better education. 
There are only a few countries from which the resistance to 
chloroquine has not been reported, and the rapid evolution of this 
resistance in Africa threatens to hamper the provision of adequate 
treatment in rural areas. Resistance to sulfadoxine/pyrimethamine 
has developed in South-East Asia, South America and focally in 
Africa. In Thailand, there are indications that up to 50% of cases 
in certain areas no longer respond to mefloquine therapy, while 
the sinsitivity to quinine is also diminishing in areas of 
Thailand and Viet Nam. (DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, MALARIA, TROPICAL 
DISEASES)
93.77.11 - English - P. DESJEUX, 
Trypanosomiases and Leishmaniases Control, Division of Control of 
Tropical Disease, WHO, Geneva (Switzerland)
Human Leishmaniases: Epidemiology and Public Health Aspects (p. 
267-275)
The leishmaniases are parasitic diseases caused by different 
species of Leishmania, protozoa transmitted by sand flies, 
haematophagous biting insects. The reservoir hosts are man 
(anthroponotic cycle) and domestic or wild animals (zoonotic 
cycle). In man, the disease takes four main clinical forms: 
visceral, cutaneous, mucocutaneous and diffuse cutaneous. 
Leishmaniasis, which is now found on four continents, is endemic 
in 82 countries (21 in the New World and 61 in the Old). Annual 
incidence is estimated at some 600 000 new clinical cases, 
officially reported, with a global prevalence of 12 million cases 
and a population at risk of approximately 350 million. 
Nevertheless, it seems clear that official reporting of cases 
considerably underestimates the problem. The leishmaniases retard 
development and burden countries by weakening the labour force, 
calling for expensive treatment which often exceeds the total 
primary health care budget (US$ 60-120 per patient) and slowing 
down rural development. The leishmaniases can be controlled by 
tackling various elements of the transmission cycle. In all foci, 
passive case detection, followed by treatment and notification, 
should be the basis of the control program. (WHO, PARASITIC 
DISEASES)
93.77.12 - English - A. MONCAYO, 
Trypanosomiases and Leishmaniases Control, Division of Control of 
Tropical Disease, WHO, Geneva (Switzerland)
Chagas Disease: Epidemiology and Prospects for Interruption of 
Transmission in the Americas (p. 276-279)
American trypanosomiasis, or Chagas disease, is a parasitic 
disease caused by the haemoflagellate protozoa, Trypanosoma cruzi. 
The human infection occurs only in the Americas, where it is 
widely distributed in the periurban and rural areas of tropical 
and subtropical countries, from Mexico to Argentina and Chile. It 
is transmitted to man and other mammals mainly through insects, 
the triatomine bugs. The results of several serological surveys 
indicate an overall prevalence of 16-18 million infected 
individuals. Up to 30% of those infected will develop the cardiac 
and/or hollow viscera irreversible lesions that characterize 
chronic Chagas disease. The endemic countries can be divided into 
four groups according to several indicators such as the number of 
confirmed human cases, the prevalence of seropositive test in 
blood donors and population samples, the presence of infected 
vectors and reservoirs, and the existence or absence of 
coordinated actions towards the control of this disease. (MEXICO, 
ARGENTINA, CHILE, PARASITIC DISEASES, CHRONIC DISEASES)
93.77.13 - English - Harry F. HULL and 
Nicholas A. WARD, Expanded Programme on Immunization, WHO, Geneva 
(Switzerland)
Progress towards the Global Eradication of Poliomyelitis (p. 280-
284)
In 1988, the World Health Assembly set the goal of global 
eradication of poliomyelities by the year 2000. The current WHO 
strategy for eradication uses three primary activities beyond 
routine immunization with OPV. They are: (i) improved disease 
surveillance, (ii) building a global network of laboratories, and 
(iii) supplemental immunization strategies which include mass 
immunization campaigns with OPV at the national level, and 
targeted campaigns at the local level. Eradication of polio from 
the Region of the Americas is close and may have already been 
achieved. In other regions, the number of reported polio cases has 
declined, largely as a result of high immunization coverage. (WHO, 
POLIOMYELITIS, INFECTIOUS DISEASES)
93.77.14 - English - C. John CLEMENTS, 
Expanded Programme on Immunization, WHO, Geneva (Switzerland) et 
al.
The Epidemiology of Measles (p. 285-291)
Measles is a highly infectious disease which has a major impact on 
child survival, particularly in developing countries. The 
importance of understanding the epidemiology of this disease is 
underlined by its ability to change rapidly in the face of 
increasing immunization coverage. Much is still to be learned 
about its epidemiology and the best strategies for administering 
measles vaccines. However, it is clear that tremendous progress 
can be made in preventing death and disease from measles with 
existing knowledge about the disease, and by using the presently 
available vaccines and applying well-tried methods of treating 
cases. Research in the coming decade may provide more effective 
vaccines for use in immunization programmes. An understanding of 
the basic epidemiology of measles is a prerequisite for effective 
control measures. (CONTAGIOUS DISEASES, MEASLES, VACCINATION)
93.77.15 - English - Scott B. HALSTEAD, 
Rockefeller Foundation, New York, NY (U.S.A.)
The 20th Century Dengue Pandemic: Need for Surveillance and 
Research (p. 292-298)
By the last decade of 20th century Aedes aegypti and the four 
dengue viruses had spread to nearly all countries of the tropical 
world. Some two billion persons live in dengue-endemic areas with 
tens of millions infected annually. Dengue pandemics were also 
documented in the 18th and 19th centuries; they were contained by 
organized anti-Aedes aegypti campaigns and urban improvements. 
Nearly three million children have been hospitalized with this 
syndrome in the past three decades, mainly in South-East Asia. 
Recent outbreaks of DHF/DSS in the Pacific Islands, China, India, 
Sri Lanka, Cuba and Venezuela are indicators of the high intensity 
and rapid spread of dengue transmission. The magnitude of 20th 
century dengue pandemic requires urgent improvements in early 
warning surveillance by WHO Member States and the development of 
the capacity to study underlying mechanisms of the disease. A key 
research question is why does DHF/DSS not occur with all second 
dengue infections? Two answers have been suggested: (1) a human 
resistance gene; (2) the existence of dengue "biotypes". How does a 
second dengue infection cause severe disease? A recent study in 
Thailand suggests that when antibody residual from the first 
infection is able to neutralize a second virus type, even weakly, 
a secondary infection will occur, but its severity is down-
regulated and the disease mild. (WHO, TROPICAL DISEASES, ENDEMIC 
DISEASES, EPIDEMICS)
93.77.16 - English - Akira IGARASHI, 
Department of Virology, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki 
University, 1-14 Bunkyo-machi, Nagasaki 852 (Japan)
Epidemiology and Control of Japanese Encephalitis (p. 299-305)
Japanese encephalitis (JE) remains endemo-epidemic in several 
countries in East, South-East and South Asia. The disease has been 
under control in Japan since the 1970s owing to mass immunization 
using mouse-brain-derived inactivated vaccine and to reduced 
vector mosquito populations. The vector density which was once 
reduced by wide spraying of insecticides in rice fields showed an 
increasing trend after the 1980s as a result of mosquito 
resistance. In the Republic of Korea, the number of JE cases 
showed a significant decrease after 1983 also because of mass 
immunization using mouse-brain-derived vaccine. On the other hand, 
large outbreaks of JE continued to occur in China, Viet Nam, 
Thailand, India, Nepal and Sri Lanka. In China, a hamster-kidney 
cell-derived vaccine was developed and used for human 
immunization. Besides human JE, the fatal outcome of equine JE is 
an economic problem in China. The technology of mouse-brain-
derived inactivated JE vaccine production was transferred from 
Japan to India, Thailand and Viet Nam. (ASIA, JAPAN, EPIDEMICS, 
VACCINATION, EPIDEMIOLOGY)
93.77.17 - English - Y. GHENDON, Microbiology 
and Immunology Support Services, Division of Communicable 
Diseases, WHO, Geneva (Switzerland)
Influenza - Its Impact and Control (p. 306-311)
Epidemics spread rapidly from country to country and may affect as 
many as 500 million people across the world in a moderate 
influenza year. The disease, particularly influenza A, kills and 
the new influenza viruses which appeared in 1957 (Asian influenza) 
and 1968 (Hong Kong) are estimated to have caused at least 100 000 
deaths in the United States of America. Deaths from influenza also 
occur in years when there is no new virus; at least 10 000 excess 
deaths have been documented in the United States during each of 18 
different epidemics recorded from 1957 to 1985. As many as 79-80% 
of influenza cases can be prevented when the virus inducing the 
outbreak and the virus used in the influenza vaccine are closely 
related. Preventing 80% of cases would correspond in the United 
States to a saving of US$ 2.5 billion. The strategy for influenza 
control must be based on the mechanisms of immunity to influenza 
in humans. Influenza surveillance plays an important part in the 
control of the disease. The emphasis of the WHO influenza 
programme established in 1947 is on the rapid isolation and 
characterization of new strains needed for effective vaccines. It 
is based on a network of 110 WHO-recognized national institutions 
for influenza designated by governments in 79 countries and three 
WHO collaborating centres for reference and research on influenza. 
Each year at the end of February, WHO issues recommendations for 
the composition of influenza vaccines to be used in the 
forthcoming epidemiological season. (WHO, EPIDEMICS, INFLUENZA, 
VACCINATION)


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